Management report _2022
2023. For 2024, the IMF expects growth of 1.6 % for the euro zone,
while growth in Germany in particular is forecast to be below average
at 0.1 % for 2023 and 1.4 % for 2024.
For emerging markets and developing countries, the IMF forecasts
economic growth of 4.0 % for 2023 and 4.2 % for 2024. A growth rate
of 5.2 % is forecast for China in 2023 and 4.5 % in 2024. For India,
economic output is forecast to increase by 5.4 % in 2023 and by 6.8 %
in 2024.
The IMF forecasts rates of inflation of 6.6 % for 2023 and 4.3 % for
2024, putting its estimates of future rates of inflation around 1.7
percentage points above the level expected by the OECD and World
Bank. The IMF notes that the risks to the global economic outlook
remain exceptionally high, as the future development of the global
economy will depend in particular on successful calibration of
monetary policy, the course of the war in Ukraine and the economic
recovery in China, following the impact of the country abandoning its
zero COVID-19 policy. This assessment is broadly shared by the
OECD and the World Bank. According to the IMF, OECD and World
Bank, the risks of a scenario of economic stagnation and monetary
inflation at the same time, which was still being forecast in 2022, have
decreased significantly and such a scenario is not expected now. In
summary, the projections from the most important organizations
suggest low global rates of growth despite the challenges that were
highlighted in the introduction. The global economic downturn is
expected to be less severe than the most recent projections from
2022 suggested, although all projections of global economic
development are subject to great uncertainty.
In the past 2022 financial year, the global
1
motorcycle market
displayed a positive trend (+5.7 %). In Europe
2
, the motorcycle market
fell to a volume of approx. 730,000 new registrations as of December
31, 2022, which corresponds to a slight decrease of -3 %. The market
share of KTM, Husqvarna and GASGAS motorcycles registered for
road use is 10.0 % (previous year: 11.5 %; figures excluding motocross
models). While the overall market for motorcycles eligible for
registration grew in Italy (+7 %), for example, on average there was a
slight decline (-3 %) in large parts of Europe.
In North America
3
, one of the most important sales markets for the
PIERER Mobility Group, the total market shrank slightly from 495,000
in the previous year to 470,000 in 2022 (-5.7 %), but the group's market
share increased from 11.6 % in the previous year to 11.8 %.
1 Related to the key sales markets of the KTM Group: DE, FR, IT, UK, ES, SE, BE, NL, AT, CH, FL, DK, NO, GR, PL, SL, HU, BALTIC, USA, CAN, AUS, NZ, JP, SA, TH, CN, AR, BR, CO.
2 Motorcycles = 120 cm
3
excluding motocross, scooters, and ATVs, including electric motorcycles in the markets DE, FR, IT, UK, ES, SE, BE, NL, AT, CH, FI, NO, BALTIC.
3 Motorcycles = 120 cm
3
including motocross, excluding scooters and ATVs, including electric motorcycles in both the US and CA markets.
In Australia, the market cooled down to roughly its 2020 level (-10 %
with a total market volume of 60,000 units; previous year: +8 %).
However, the KTM, Husqvarna and GASGAS brands were able to
expand their market share and now have a market share of 20.6 %
(previous year: 19.7 %). Aside from its home market of Austria, this
represents the PIERER Mobility Group's largest percentage share of
the market anywhere in the world.
The relevant Indian motorcycle market (S2/S3 segment) is clearly on
the up (+23 %) and exceeded the volume of 1 million units in 2022. In
this context, the strategic partner Bajaj sold almost 50,000
motorcycles of the KTM and Husqvarna brands in India, which
equates to a market share of 5 % (previous year: 7 %). In China
(premium importer market) as well as in Japan (motorcycles
>250 cm
3
), the markets recorded a slight decline (-4.4 % in Japan) and
a significant decline (-14 % in China), with this volume reduction being
caused in China especially by the measures that were in place to
restrict the spread of coronavirus in 2022. Nevertheless, the PIERER
Mobility Group's market share in Japan, the home market of the major
Japanese motorcycle manufacturers, remains stable at 3 % (previous
year: 3.3 %), while demand in China for KTM and Husqvarna models
is reflected in a market share of 10.3 % (previous year: 10.2 %).
The e-mobility market has great potential for growth. It can be
expected that high-quality products will emerge to meet the level of
demand. Consumers' increased awareness of quality and
environmental issues is leading directly to a higher level of demand in
the relevant market – an established trend, especially based on data
for the German sales market, which according to the latest scientific
findings is very much dependent on a changing demographic
structure, with people more conscious of the environment. At the
same time, it should be noted that current macroeconomic
uncertainties, as were outlined at the beginning, as well as impacts
on consumer prices, not least due to high rates of inflation, may
produce unpredictable effects on the level of demand.
The latest 2022 report from the Confederation of the European
Bicycle Industry (CONEBI) indicates a European sales volume of
around 22 million New Mobility Products – EPACs in CONEBI's
terminology – in 2021. This is moderate growth of 0.8 % compared to
2020. However, sales of electrified products are outperforming the
overall market, with a +11.5 % increase compared to 2020 and a
22.8 % share of total products sold. According to the report, the most